zpostcode
Investing in speculative start-up stocks? 14 alternative fundamentals to follow
Feb 15, 2026 11:01 AM

  

Investing in speculative start-up stocks? 14 alternative fundamentals to follow1

  You just bought shares in a hot new company whose stock price, you believe, has the potential to go sky-high. As a responsible investor, you now have to do your homework by regularly evaluating the company’s fundamentals.

  You planned to use the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, but, surprise!—what earnings?What about the price-to-book (P/B) ratio? Nope! The physical assets consist of intellectual property documents and a few digital notepads (although filled with brilliant ideas). As for return-on-equity (ROE)—that is, net income relative to shareholder’s equity—the company’s income gets vaporized by the cash burn, quarter after quarter. That calculation’s out the window, too.Does this mean you’ve invested in a bad stock? That, of course, depends on your objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon. But you’re probably looking at the wrong fundamentals. Here are 14 alternative fundamentals to consider when the traditional ones aren’t appropriate.

  1: Total addressable (or “available”) market (TAM)What is it? Ever wonder how much a company would make if it captured 100% of its market share? This metric tells you the monetary worth of the entire global pie.

  How to use it: This benchmark figure tells you the sheer size of a company’s total market opportunity. The company isn’t likely to capture all of it, but it can take a good chunk if it’s successful and/or first to market.

  2: Serviceable addressable (or “available”) market (SAM)What is it? SAM focuses on market share that’s within a company’s geographical reach. This metric is more relevant than TAM if a company is targeting its regional market before attempting to compete on a global scale.

  How to use it: SAM gives you a more realistic picture of what a company can achieve if it decides to target regional markets first.

  3: Serviceable obtainable market (SOM)What is it? For some companies, the serviceable addressable market (SAM) may still be too large a target. So the company will likely focus on just a portion—its serviceable obtainable market, or SOM.

  How to use it: Once you have a more realistic picture of what a company can achieve in market share, you can use it to forecast its growth potential and assess its market performance.

  4: Monthly recurring revenue (MRR)What is it? For companies that rely on subscriptions, the MRR tells you the predictable monthly income from subscriptions and/or contracts; essentially, any recurring revenue streams.

  How to use it: Because this income occurs monthly, you can use it to forecast a company’s growth and assess its revenue stability.

  5: Customer acquisition cost (CAC)What is it? How much does it cost for a company to get new customers? The CAC breaks this down for you.

  How to use it: This metric can help you determine whether a business’s strategies to acquire new customers are efficient.

  6: Customer lifetime value (LTV)What is it? This metric forecasts the total revenue a customer will generate over their entire lifespan of engaging with the business.

  How to use it: You can use this to estimate a company’s long-term profitability based on its customer revenues. However, this also requires some historical data, which may be inadequate for new businesses.

  How to calculate it: LTV = (average revenue per unit per period) x (gross margin per customer) x (average customer lifespan)

  7: Churn rateWhat is it? If you’re curious about the percentage of customers who drop a company’s product or service over a given period, that’s what the churn rate is all about.

  How to use it: Use this to analyze customer retention and whether they may be satisfied with a company’s products and services.

  How to calculate it: Churn rate = (number of customers lost during a period) / (total number of customers at the start of the period)

  8: Net cash burn rateWhat is it? This metric tells you how much of a company’s cash reserves are being spent to cover operating expenses before it achieves positive cash flow.

  How to use it: You can use the burn rate to forecast whether a business will run out of cash before it gets a chance to sustain itself through recurring revenue. Does it have enough reserves, or will it have to raise capital through investors or loans?

  How to calculate it: First you need the gross burn rate, which is the same as the total monthly operating expenses. Net cash burn rate = (total monthly operating expenses) – (monthly revenue)

  9: Net promoter score (NPS)What is it? Net promoter score, or NPS, is a metric that attempts to measure customer satisfaction and customer loyalty by asking if they’d recommend the company’s products to others.

  How to use it: Every business aims for a steady stream of customers. Repeat customers are even better. But if a business can turn customers into brand promoters and influencers, the “word-of-mouth” benefits can serve as a real force multiplier for its marketing. NPS is a look at the early stages of converting customers into a brand tribe.

  10: Gross marginWhat is it? Gross margin, a percentage-based figure, is the remaining revenue after subtracting a company’s cost of goods sold (COGS). It answers the question, “How much is a business taking home after all expenses are accounted for?”

  How to calculate it: Gross margin = ((revenue – COGS) / revenue) x 100

  11: Viral coefficientWhat is it? The viral coefficient metric analyzes the organic growth rate a business may experience through customer referrals.

  How to use it: What’s exciting about this metric is that you can see if a company is growing incrementally or exponentially through customer referrals. Either way, it can tell you a lot about customer satisfaction, the company’s marketing strategies, and whether it’s generating enough buzz to be the “next big thing” in its market.

  How to calculate it: Viral coefficient = (number of invites sent per customer) x (conversion rate of new customers)

  12: Year-over-year (YoY) growthWhat is it? This is a key performance indicator that compares a company’s current financial performance—in one or several metrics—to the same time a year ago. Growth is typically expressed as a percentage.

  How to use it: You can track the growth in earnings per share (note that could mean a lower net loss versus the previous year), growth in net revenue, or even growth in market capitalization.

  How to calculate it: YoY growth = ((current year’s value – previous year’s value) / previous year’s value) x 100

  13: Revenue per employeeWhat is it? Ever wonder how much revenue a company is making relative to the number of employees it has? This metric calculates that figure by dividing a company’s total revenue by the number of its employees.

  How to use it: Assess whether the business might be producing too little for the size of its workforce. In the opposite scenario, where a company is producing a lot with just a few workers, you might be able to forecast its growth if it should increase its head count.

  14: Burn multipleWhat is it? This metric tells you whether a start-up is burning cash too quickly or spending it efficiently.

  How to use it: The net cash burn rate (discussed earlier) can help you determine whether a business is going to survive financially before it turns a profit. The burn multiple can help you assess a start-up’s potential for longer-term growth by evaluating how efficiently it converts its cash burn into revenue.

  The bottom lineIn the absence of hard sales and profit data (which most start-ups simply don’t have), traditional metrics don’t tell a company’s story. Even among the alternative measures, some may take priority, depending on the company and industry. Some industries have their own preferred metrics—for example, a social platform might track daily (or monthly) active users.

  But at some point, a company is going to be expected to turn a profit if it hopes to remain viable. And for every success story, such as Amazon (AMZN)—which didn’t turn its first annual profit until year 10—many others never get over the profitability hump. When the business cycle turns from boom to recession, such companies frequently file for bankruptcy.

  Follow the alt fundamentals and invest if you see promise, but also follow economic trends and figure out where the “smart money” seems to be moving. If it looks like your start-up could be sputtering, make sure you’re not among those left holding the bag.

Comments
Welcome to zpostcode comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Recommend >
geek
     The Big Bang Theory Actors Jim Parsons (left) and Johnny Galecki as the geeky characters Sheldon Cooper and Leonard Hofstadter, respectively, in the television comedy series The Big Bang Theory (2007–19). (more) geek Ask the Chatbot a Question Ask the Chatbot a Question Written by Roland Martin Roland Martin is a freelance writer living in San Francisco. Roland Martin...
Siege of Syracuse
     Naval engagement during the Siege of Syracuse A 19th-century engraving depicting Athenian naval forces attacking in the harbor of Syracuse in Sicily during the Peloponnesian War. Chronicle/Alamy. (more) Siege of Syracuse Peloponnesian War Ask the Chatbot a Question More Actions Print Cite verifiedCite While every effort has been made to follow citation style rules, there may be some discrepancies....
Civil Rights Act of 1866
     Civil Rights Act of 1866 The first page of a manuscript copy of the Civil Rights Act of 1866, the first federal civil rights bill in U.S. history. (more) Civil Rights Act of 1866 federal statute, primary source Ask the Chatbot a Question Ask the Chatbot a Question Also known as: Public Law 39-26, 14 STAT 27 Written and...
Jasprit Bumrah
  Jasprit Bumrah Indian cricketer Ask the Chatbot a Question Ask the Chatbot a Question Also known as: Jasprit Jasbirsingh Bumrah Written by Sanat Pai Raikar Sanat Pai Raikar is a quizmaster and writer based out of Bangalore, India. His first quiz book, Three's A Quiz, was written from memory. Sanat has cofounded Quizarre, which provides quiz, crossword,... Sanat Pai Raikar...
Information Recommendation
Qingming Festival
     Qingming Festival A woman cleaning a tombstone on a grave in a cemetery in China. (more) Qingming Festival Chinese festival Ask the Chatbot a Question More Actions Print print Print Please select which sections you would like to print: Table Of Contents Cite verifiedCite While every effort has been made to follow citation style rules, there may be some...
State and local taxes you paid: Are they tax deductible?
     If you itemize, strategize.© Stone's Throwe Photo/stock.adobe.comGovernment services like roads, schools, and social programs don’t come free. To fund these necessities, federal, state, and local governments rely on taxes. Whether it’s income, property, or sales taxes, you and everyone else must contribute their share.   Because you pay taxes at the state and local level, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS)...
First French Empire
     Greatest extent of Napoleon I's empire, 1812 (more) First French Empire historical empire, Europe Ask the Chatbot a Question Ask the Chatbot a Question Written and fact-checked by The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica Encyclopaedia Britannica's editors oversee subject areas in which they have extensive knowledge, whether from years of experience gained by working on that content or via study...
My So-Called Life
     My So-Called Life Claire Danes and Jared Leto in the television show My So-Called Life (1994–95). (more) My So-Called Life American television series Ask the Chatbot a Question Ask the Chatbot a Question Written by Kirk Fox Kirk Fox is a content writer who has been involved in the music scene in the Chicago area for a long time....
Second Cabinet of Donald Trump
  Second Cabinet of Donald Trump Ask the Chatbot a Question Ask the Chatbot a Question Written by Kenny Chmielewski Kenny is an associate cartographer at Britannica and has worked there since 2008. When not making maps and infographics for Britannica, he enjoys photographing the beautiful city of Chicago. Kenny Chmielewski, Amy Tikkanen Amy Tikkanen is Managing Editor at Encyclopaedia Britannica....
Battle of Texel
     The Battle of Texel Encounter during the Battle of Kijkduin (Battle of Texel), circa 1675 by Willem van de Velde the Younger. © Heritage Art/Heritage Images—Hulton Fine Art Collection/Getty Images. (more) Battle of Texel European history [1673] Ask the Chatbot a Question More Actions Print Cite verifiedCite While every effort has been made to follow citation style rules, there...
Padmanabhaswamy Temple
     Padmanabhaswamy Temple One of the richest temples in the world, holding valuables estimated to be worth about $22 billion, is the Padmanabhaswamy Temple in Thiruvananthapuram (Trivandrum), Kerala, India. (more) Padmanabhaswamy Temple Hindu temple, Thiruvananthapuram, India Ask the Chatbot a Question Ask the Chatbot a Question Written by Charles Preston Charles Preston is Associate Editor for Religion at Encyclopædia Britannica....
major figures in Roman mythology
  major figures in Roman mythology Ask the Chatbot a Question Ask the Chatbot a Question Written by Alicja Zelazko Alicja Zelazko is Associate Editor, Arts and Humanities, covering topics in the visual arts, architecture, music, and performance. Before joining Encyclopædia Britannica in 2017, she worked at the Art... Alicja Zelazko Fact-checked by The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica Encyclopaedia Britannica's editors...