zpostcode
Investing in speculative start-up stocks? 14 alternative fundamentals to follow
Apr 12, 2026 6:22 AM

  

Investing in speculative start-up stocks? 14 alternative fundamentals to follow1

  You just bought shares in a hot new company whose stock price, you believe, has the potential to go sky-high. As a responsible investor, you now have to do your homework by regularly evaluating the company’s fundamentals.

  You planned to use the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, but, surprise!—what earnings?What about the price-to-book (P/B) ratio? Nope! The physical assets consist of intellectual property documents and a few digital notepads (although filled with brilliant ideas). As for return-on-equity (ROE)—that is, net income relative to shareholder’s equity—the company’s income gets vaporized by the cash burn, quarter after quarter. That calculation’s out the window, too.Does this mean you’ve invested in a bad stock? That, of course, depends on your objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon. But you’re probably looking at the wrong fundamentals. Here are 14 alternative fundamentals to consider when the traditional ones aren’t appropriate.

  1: Total addressable (or “available”) market (TAM)What is it? Ever wonder how much a company would make if it captured 100% of its market share? This metric tells you the monetary worth of the entire global pie.

  How to use it: This benchmark figure tells you the sheer size of a company’s total market opportunity. The company isn’t likely to capture all of it, but it can take a good chunk if it’s successful and/or first to market.

  2: Serviceable addressable (or “available”) market (SAM)What is it? SAM focuses on market share that’s within a company’s geographical reach. This metric is more relevant than TAM if a company is targeting its regional market before attempting to compete on a global scale.

  How to use it: SAM gives you a more realistic picture of what a company can achieve if it decides to target regional markets first.

  3: Serviceable obtainable market (SOM)What is it? For some companies, the serviceable addressable market (SAM) may still be too large a target. So the company will likely focus on just a portion—its serviceable obtainable market, or SOM.

  How to use it: Once you have a more realistic picture of what a company can achieve in market share, you can use it to forecast its growth potential and assess its market performance.

  4: Monthly recurring revenue (MRR)What is it? For companies that rely on subscriptions, the MRR tells you the predictable monthly income from subscriptions and/or contracts; essentially, any recurring revenue streams.

  How to use it: Because this income occurs monthly, you can use it to forecast a company’s growth and assess its revenue stability.

  5: Customer acquisition cost (CAC)What is it? How much does it cost for a company to get new customers? The CAC breaks this down for you.

  How to use it: This metric can help you determine whether a business’s strategies to acquire new customers are efficient.

  6: Customer lifetime value (LTV)What is it? This metric forecasts the total revenue a customer will generate over their entire lifespan of engaging with the business.

  How to use it: You can use this to estimate a company’s long-term profitability based on its customer revenues. However, this also requires some historical data, which may be inadequate for new businesses.

  How to calculate it: LTV = (average revenue per unit per period) x (gross margin per customer) x (average customer lifespan)

  7: Churn rateWhat is it? If you’re curious about the percentage of customers who drop a company’s product or service over a given period, that’s what the churn rate is all about.

  How to use it: Use this to analyze customer retention and whether they may be satisfied with a company’s products and services.

  How to calculate it: Churn rate = (number of customers lost during a period) / (total number of customers at the start of the period)

  8: Net cash burn rateWhat is it? This metric tells you how much of a company’s cash reserves are being spent to cover operating expenses before it achieves positive cash flow.

  How to use it: You can use the burn rate to forecast whether a business will run out of cash before it gets a chance to sustain itself through recurring revenue. Does it have enough reserves, or will it have to raise capital through investors or loans?

  How to calculate it: First you need the gross burn rate, which is the same as the total monthly operating expenses. Net cash burn rate = (total monthly operating expenses) – (monthly revenue)

  9: Net promoter score (NPS)What is it? Net promoter score, or NPS, is a metric that attempts to measure customer satisfaction and customer loyalty by asking if they’d recommend the company’s products to others.

  How to use it: Every business aims for a steady stream of customers. Repeat customers are even better. But if a business can turn customers into brand promoters and influencers, the “word-of-mouth” benefits can serve as a real force multiplier for its marketing. NPS is a look at the early stages of converting customers into a brand tribe.

  10: Gross marginWhat is it? Gross margin, a percentage-based figure, is the remaining revenue after subtracting a company’s cost of goods sold (COGS). It answers the question, “How much is a business taking home after all expenses are accounted for?”

  How to calculate it: Gross margin = ((revenue – COGS) / revenue) x 100

  11: Viral coefficientWhat is it? The viral coefficient metric analyzes the organic growth rate a business may experience through customer referrals.

  How to use it: What’s exciting about this metric is that you can see if a company is growing incrementally or exponentially through customer referrals. Either way, it can tell you a lot about customer satisfaction, the company’s marketing strategies, and whether it’s generating enough buzz to be the “next big thing” in its market.

  How to calculate it: Viral coefficient = (number of invites sent per customer) x (conversion rate of new customers)

  12: Year-over-year (YoY) growthWhat is it? This is a key performance indicator that compares a company’s current financial performance—in one or several metrics—to the same time a year ago. Growth is typically expressed as a percentage.

  How to use it: You can track the growth in earnings per share (note that could mean a lower net loss versus the previous year), growth in net revenue, or even growth in market capitalization.

  How to calculate it: YoY growth = ((current year’s value – previous year’s value) / previous year’s value) x 100

  13: Revenue per employeeWhat is it? Ever wonder how much revenue a company is making relative to the number of employees it has? This metric calculates that figure by dividing a company’s total revenue by the number of its employees.

  How to use it: Assess whether the business might be producing too little for the size of its workforce. In the opposite scenario, where a company is producing a lot with just a few workers, you might be able to forecast its growth if it should increase its head count.

  14: Burn multipleWhat is it? This metric tells you whether a start-up is burning cash too quickly or spending it efficiently.

  How to use it: The net cash burn rate (discussed earlier) can help you determine whether a business is going to survive financially before it turns a profit. The burn multiple can help you assess a start-up’s potential for longer-term growth by evaluating how efficiently it converts its cash burn into revenue.

  The bottom lineIn the absence of hard sales and profit data (which most start-ups simply don’t have), traditional metrics don’t tell a company’s story. Even among the alternative measures, some may take priority, depending on the company and industry. Some industries have their own preferred metrics—for example, a social platform might track daily (or monthly) active users.

  But at some point, a company is going to be expected to turn a profit if it hopes to remain viable. And for every success story, such as Amazon (AMZN)—which didn’t turn its first annual profit until year 10—many others never get over the profitability hump. When the business cycle turns from boom to recession, such companies frequently file for bankruptcy.

  Follow the alt fundamentals and invest if you see promise, but also follow economic trends and figure out where the “smart money” seems to be moving. If it looks like your start-up could be sputtering, make sure you’re not among those left holding the bag.

Comments
Welcome to zpostcode comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Recommend >
art and cultural property repatriation
  art and cultural property repatriation, the return of art or other cultural objects to their country or culture of origin. It differs from art restitution, which is typically used to describe instances in which a piece of art or other cultural object is returned to an individual, rather than to a country or people. Many discussions of repatriation focus on...
Jeffrey Gibson
  Born: March 31, 1972, Colorado Springs, Colorado, U.S. (Show more) Jeffrey Gibson (born March 31, 1972, Colorado Springs, Colorado, U.S.) is an American multidisciplinary artist of Choctaw and Cherokee descent, whose art explores the changeability of identity using narratives, materials, abstract contemporary forms, and motifs from Native American history and queer culture. Pieces include powwow regalia, geometric paintings on animal...
7 benefits of good credit for your financial well-being
     You’ve probably heard that having a good credit score is important if you want access to favorable mortgage terms or hope to get a better rate on your next auto loan. But the benefits of a good credit score go beyond borrowing money to meet financial and life milestones.   Your credit history can influence employment, your ability to get...
Kaʿiulani
  In full: Victoria Kaʿiulani Kawekio I Lunalilo Kalaninuiahilapalapa Cleghorn (Show more) Born: October 16, 1875, Honolulu, Oahu, Hawaii [now Honolulu, Hawaii, U.S.] (Show more) Died: March 6, 1899, Waikiki [now in Honolulu] (Show more) Kaʿiulani (born October 16, 1875, Honolulu, Oahu, Hawaii [now Honolulu, Hawaii, U.S.]—died March 6, 1899, Waikiki [now in Honolulu]) was the final heir apparent to the...
Information Recommendation
Titan submersible implosion
  More than 100 years after sinking, the Titanic continues to capture the public’s imagination. It has inspired numerous books, TV shows, and films—as well as a highly lucrative tourism industry. For hundreds of thousands of dollars, Titanic enthusiasts can travel in submersible vehicles to the wreckage, which lies approximately 12,500 feet (3,800 meters) below the surface of the Atlantic Ocean....
Khmer empire
  Date: 802 - 1431 (Show more) Related Places: Vietnam Thailand Cambodia Laos (Show more) Khmer empire, ancient Cambodian state that ruled vast areas of mainland Southeast Asia from about 802 ce to 1431, reaching its peak between the 11th and 13th centuries. Also known as the kingdom of Angkor, it was the successor state of the earlier kingdoms of Funan...
The big 3 credit bureaus and the info they gather about you
     Credit reporting agencies exert a major influence on consumers’ lives in the United States. The big three credit bureaus—Experian, TransUnion, and Equifax—and the credit scores they calculate affect your economic fate in numerous ways, including which loans and bank accounts you can get, and possibly even where you’ll live and work.   Most of the information used to calculate your...
Deaths in 2024
  Below is a list of notable deaths in 2024, arranged in chronological order. (The age of the individual is in parentheses.) • Herbert Kroemer (95): German-born physicist who was a corecipient of the 2000 Nobel Prize for Physics • Thomas Stafford (93): American astronaut who flew on a number of missions and notably commanded the Apollo 10 mission (1969) •...
assassination of Yitzhak Rabin
  assassination of Yitzhak Rabin, mortal shooting of Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin following a mass peace rally on November 4, 1995 in Tel Aviv’s Kings of Israel Square (later renamed Rabin Square). Rabin was killed by a Jewish extremist, Yigal Amir, who was angry about the Oslo Accords, in which Rabin agreed to cede some of the territory occupied in...
Deepest blue hole in the world discovered, with hidden caves and tunnels believed to be inside
Mexico's Taam Ja' Blue Hole is the deepest known underwater sinkhole in the world, researchers have discovered and they haven't even reached the bottom yet. New measurements indicate the Taam Ja' Blue Hole (TJBH), which sits in Chetumal Bay off the southeast coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, extends at least 1,380 feet (420 meters) below sea level. That's 480 feet...
Earth from space: Lava bleeds down iguana-infested volcano as it spits out toxic gas
Quick factsWhere is it? Fernandina Island, Galpagos Islands [-0.3738657, -91.5395414]. What's in the photo? The erupting La Cumbre volcano. Which satellite took the photo? Landsat 8. When was it taken? March 7, 2024. This striking image captures the initial lava flow from the ongoing eruption at La Cumbre volcano. The active fissure is located on Fernandina Island the third largest...
Interactive Periodic Table of the Elements
  Above is an interactive periodic table of the elements. Clicking on one of the types of elements at the top will emphasize those elements in the table and give some information about what those elements have in common. Clicking on one of the elements will bring up a larger tile with that element’s atomic number, atomic weight, symbol, electron configuration,...